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Published by The Scottish Parliamentary Corporate Body
Child poverty in Scotland: forecasting the impact of policy options
Author: Paola De Agostini and Nicola Hudson
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Published: Tuesday 09 Apr 2019 (SB 19-18)
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Overview
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Overview
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Executive Summary
Context: child poverty in Scotland
Scottish Government child poverty strategy
Comparing alternative policy scenarios
The baseline position: no action
Selected "what if" scenarios
Scenario A: Reducing income tax in Scotland
Scenario B: Increasing child benefit
Scenario C: Changing child-related elements of Universal Credit
Comparing policy interventions
Overall impact on child poverty
Which types of families benefit from the policy options?
Other analysis
Annex A: EUROMOD and project technical details
Annex B: Modelling assumptions
Updating to 2018/19 and 2023/24
Policy changes
Universal credit roll out
Equivalisation methodology
Non take-up of means-tested payments
Default indexation assumptions
Executive Summary
Context: child poverty in Scotland
Scottish Government child poverty strategy
Comparing alternative policy scenarios
The baseline position: no action
Selected "what if" scenarios
Comparing policy interventions
Other analysis
Annex A: EUROMOD and project technical details
Annex B: Modelling assumptions
Sources
Image: Figure 1: Child poverty targets
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Image: Figure 2: Baseline scenario - no change to current plans
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Image: Figure 3: Scenario A - reducing the starter rate of income tax
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Image: Figure 4: Scenario B - increasing child benefit
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Image: Figure 5: Scenario C - changing the child-related elements of Universal Credit
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Image: Figure 6: Comparing alternative scenarios
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Image: Figure 7: Impact of policy options by family type
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Last Updated: 24/11 12:42am
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